Extending the Tax Credit: Here is what is being discussed in Congress now

Support for expansion and extension of the tax credit is growing in Congress. Here is a preliminary look at what might be coming down, extended out to people who are IN a Purchase Contract by the end of April, but closing before June, 2010.

Dodd-Lieberman-Isakson Amendment
$8,000 Homebuyer Tax Credit

The Issue:
• Ask your Senator to support the DoddLiebermanIsakson amendment by extending the
$8,000 firsttime homebuyer tax credit.
The DoddLiebermanIsakson amendment would:
• Extend the tax credit to June 30, 2010.
• Expand the credit by removing the firsttime homebuyer requirement.
• Raise the income limits to $150,000 ($300,000 for joint returns).
• For purchases made in 2010, taxpayers are able to claim the credit on their 2009 income tax return.
• Maintains that homebuyers do not have to repay the credit, provided the home remains their main residence for 36 months after the purchase date.
• The 36 month recapture provision is waived for a member of the Armed Forces on active duty who has to move because of a military order.

Why it is needed:
• The housing market remains fragile.
o The market has improved and prices have stabilized in many areas, but the market has not fully corrected. Retaining the credit sustains that recovery.
• The tax credit has been effective.
o NAR research suggests that as many as 355,000 sales this year can be directly attributed to the availability of the credit.
o One prominent economist attributes 400,000 sales to the availability of the credit.
• The tax credit stimulated market activity.
o The volume of housing sales has improved steadily every month since the credit was
enacted.
o The credit pulled people from the sidelines and created some momentum that had been
absent.
• Home sales continue to stimulate economic activity.
o The economy will never fully recover until housing markets fully recover. Thus, the
stimulus the credit provides is still needed. NAR estimates that every sale generates
approximately $60,000 of additional economic activity.

NAR: Best tool to keep housing moving is the tax credit

WASHINGTON – Oct. 8, 2009 – The best tool for sustaining the still-fragile housing market is the $8,000 homebuyer tax credit, and it’s essential that Congress extend the credit into 2010, the National Association of Realtors® (NAR) testified at a hearing of the U.S. House Small Business Committee yesterday. The tax credit currently expires Nov. 30, 2009.

NAR Regional Vice President Joseph L. Canfora also told the panel that a major stumbling block for consumers has been the implementation of appraisal processes spurred by the Home Valuation Code of Conduct (HVCC), which is causing delays in closings. That delay, Canfora said, led to artificially low existing-home sales numbers for August because consumers cancelled sales.

“The credit is working,” Canfora said, pointing out that 355,000 to 400,000 transactions directly attributable to the credit made a significant dent in the housing inventory and will help to stabilize home prices. In addition, the credit has provided a huge indirect benefit to local governments, shoring up property tax bases in particularly hard-hit areas.

Further, NAR has estimated that every home purchase pumps into the recovering economy about $63,000 – the equivalent of one new job added to the employment figures.

But, Canfora said, the threat of more foreclosures coming to the market caused by mortgage rate resets, job losses, and by lenders’ unburdening themselves of additional properties to take advantage of today’s more stabilized prices could disrupt the fragile recovery.

In a “normal” market, optimal housing inventory is about six to seven months, he said. When the tax credit was enacted in February, inventory was 9.1 months. Because of the spurt in homes sales since then due to the tax credit, inventory declined to 8.2 months in August, closer to “normal” than at any time since 2007.

“The more robust the credit and the greater its duration, the greater the chance that the housing market can perform its traditional role of helping the economy move out of a recession,” Canfora said.

“But problems arising from the implementation of the HVCC may reverse the market’s positive momentum at a time when the real estate industry is just starting to show signs of a rebound in many markets,” Canfora added. According to an NAR survey of its members, approximately 40 percent of Realtors report losing at least one sale since May 1 because of appraisal problems due to the HVCC rules. Twenty percent say they have lost more than one sale.

The culprit, Canfora said, was that appraisal management companies, which have gained prominence because of the HVCC, have assigned appraisers to areas where they lack geographic competence. That has resulted in unreliable appraisals. It’s not uncommon that second and third appraisals have to be done to ascertain fair market value. Appraisal fees have also risen and are being passed on to consumers.

Both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have issued guidance on appraisals, but NAR is calling upon the mortgage giants and the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) to issue consolidated guidance codified and incorporated into existing policy so that information on appraisals is available to the real estate industry.

FHA Commissioner David H. Stevens has asked FHA staff to explore that recommendation with Fannie and Freddie. Last month, Stevens reaffirmed FHA appraisal policy, taking into consideration the unintended consequences that have burdened Fannie and Freddie, and issued two Mortgagee Letters focusing on appraisal changes. The policy reaffirms appraiser independence and geographic competence.

The FHA announcement also included timely steps to protect taxpayers: implementing credit policy changes to enhance risk management; hiring a chief risk officer for the first time in the agency’s history; and shifting responsibility for mortgage brokers away from taxpayers to the lenders who use mortgage brokers.

Canfora told the committee that FHA has performed remarkably well through the housing crisis compared to Fannie and Freddie. “That’s because FHA has never strayed from the sound underwriting and appropriate appraisals that have traditionally backed up their loans. The reason the FHA capital reserve ratio fell below 2 percent had nothing to do with FHA’s current business activities. It is simply a reflection of falling housing values in their portfolio.”

Canfora cited an FHA announcement that a 2009 audit will show that even if FHA does nothing, the cap reserves are expected to rise back to that required level within a few years.

Housing Prices Stabilizing?

NEW YORK – Sept. 30, 2009 – Home prices rose for the third-consecutive month in July, bolstering the view that the long free fall in the housing market may be history. But consumer confidence fell unexpectedly, modestly pushing down stocks.

Housing prices ticked up 1.6 percent from June, according to the Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller home price index, which tracks 20 large cities. Low mortgage rates and bargains on foreclosed homes are attracting buyers.

Home prices rose for the first time in three years in May. And after falling 12 percent from October through April, prices climbed 3.6 percent from May to June.

“I think we’ve made the turn,” says Joel Naroff of Naroff Economic Advisors.

Values rose in 18 of the 20 cities, with only Las Vegas and Seattle posting monthly declines, of 1.1 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively. Thirteen cities have had at least three consecutive monthly gains.

The residential real estate market is still weak. Home values in the 20 cities are off 13.3 percent from July 2008 and 33.5 percent from their 2006 peak. Prices are now about where they were in fall 2003. But the year-over-year declines have been steadily shrinking in each of the past six months.

In some cities, the housing market is almost stable year-over-year, with prices in Cleveland, Dallas and Denver dipping 1.3 percent, 1.6 percent and 2.9 percent, respectively.

Yet some economists say the recent run-up is a brief reprieve, and home prices have yet to hit bottom. Patrick Newport of IHS Global Insight says the market will swoon again after housing inventories are fattened by a new wave of foreclosures and an $8,000 tax credit for first-time home buyers expires Nov. 30. Newport says prices will likely fall 6 percent before mounting a more sustainable rebound in mid-2010.

David Blitzer, chairman of Standard & Poor’s index committee, says, “The numbers are very encouraging, but it will probably take some time before we have convincing data that we’re past the bottom.”

Meanwhile, a closely watched consumer confidence index dipped to 53.1 in September from 54.5 in August, the Conference Board said. Analysts expected it to rise to 57.

Ian Shepherdson of High Frequency Economics noted most of the drop stemmed from consumer attitudes about current conditions, which reflects high unemployment. The more critical “expectations index” was stable, sliding to 73.3 from 73.8. The overall index is up from a record low of about 25 in February.

Still, “With the holiday season quickly approaching, this is not very encouraging news,” says Lynn Franco, head of the board’s consumer research center. The Dow Jones industrial average closed down 47 points at 9742.

Will the Cap and Trade Bill Have an Impact on Housing Sales?

In the interest of creating a better environment, new legislation that is along the lines of the Waxman-Markey Cap and Trade Bill is scheduled to be unveiled by the end of the month.  The bill will include language for a new National Building Code calling for homes to be more energy efficient.

With regard to new construction, there have been some notable innovations in green building designs and the use of these should be encouraged in new homes.

However, according to a recent article, the proposed code has a provision which would mandate that all housing transactions be required to undergo and pass an environmental inspection.  In older home sales this could be significant.  Windows that are not airtight and appliances that are not Energy Star certified would have to be replaced before the sale could happen.

The fear is that this bill could possibly affect the sales of “fixer-upper” homes; however, I cannot honestly see the government moving in with these types of restrictions at this point which would severely impact the sale of the huge inventory of foreclosure properties now sitting on the block with millions more expected.

Currently, sellers in Massachusetts and many other states are mandated to have smoke and carbon monoxide detectors as a requirement before any property can be transferred.  Also, owners with private septic systems must have a Title V inspection and it fails, they are required to remedy the problem by installing a new septic system.

Most people are onboard with these items since they have a huge impact on safety and protecting the environment.  However, if home sellers have to repair every problem prior to a sale, it could significantly drive up the cost of selling a home.

At a time when the country is spending countless sums of money to shore up the housing market with a first-time tax credit and the possibility of extending and expanding this program, it seems contradictory to come up with legislation that could sabotage these efforts.

I will be on the lookout for more clarification of this bill in the coming weeks and hope that the stir about it is more smoke than fire.

With the housing market still in a depressed state, it is hard to imagine that the government would choose this time to make housing sales more difficult.

Mandie Sullivan, Top Producer Buyer Agent!

Just wanted to congratulate Mandie Sullivan on closing on 3 homes over the last month… and for having 2 more scheduled in the coming two weeks… Great Job! I will add that one deal has been delayed until the end of the month… seems the wife had no choice but to give birth Thursday! Today’s closing therefore was postponed… Of course, CONGRATULATIONS to the new parents of a 7lb 11oz baby boy!